Shaping the Path to March 2026: Voter Preferences, Familiarity, and Turnout Dynamics in the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate Primary

This statewide survey of likely March 2026 Texas Democratic primary voters offers an early, data-driven look at a competitive U.S. Senate primary between Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico. The findings highlight distinct patterns across race, gender, age, and party identification, revealing how voter familiarity, demographic coalitions, and perceived electoral strengths are shaping candidate support months ahead of the primary.

Beyond vote choice, the research explores which candidate voters believe is best positioned to mobilize infrequent Democratic voters versus attract Republican crossover support—two critical dynamics for both primary and general election strategy. To explore the full analysis, demographic breakdowns, and implications for voter engagement and turnout, read the full report here.